WHO Ebola response team (2014)
\(d\log(R_0(t)) = \sigma dW_t\)
Dureau (2013)
Andrieu (2010), Murray (2013)
Assessing the performance of real-time epidemic forecasts.
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bioRxiv (2018) doi:10.1101/177451
Real-time forecasting of infectious disease dynamics with a stochastic semi-mechanistic model.
S. Funk, A. Camacho, A. J. Kucharski, R. M. Eggo, W. J. Edmunds.
Epidemics (2018) 22:56–61.
The impact of control strategies and behavioural changes on the elimination of Ebola from Lofa County, Liberia.
S. Funk, I. Ciglenecki, A. Tiffany, E. Gignoux et al.
Philos T R Soc B (2017) 372:1721.
Temporal Changes in Ebola Transmission in Sierra Leone and Implications for Control Requirements: a Real-time Modelling Study.
A. Camacho, A. Kucharski, Y. Aki-Sawyerr, S. Funk et al.
PLoS Curr (2015) Feb 10. Edition 1